4.PS.2

The student will model and determine the probability of an outcome of a simple event.

4.PS.2.aDescribe probability as the degree of likelihood of an outcome occurring using terms such as impossible, unlikely, equally likely, likely, and certain.4.PS.2.bModel and determine all possible outcomes of a given simple event where there are no more than 24 possible outcomes, using a variety of manipulatives (e.g., coins, two-sided counters, number cubes, spinners).4.PS.2.cWrite the probability of a given simple event as a fraction between 0 and 1, where there are no more than 24 possible outcomes.4.PS.2.dDetermine the likelihood of an event occurring and relate it to its whole number or fractional representation (e.g., impossible or zero; equally likely; certain or one).4.PS.2.eCreate a model or contextual problem to represent a given probability.
Example Problems
A bag contains 9 blue candies, 7 red candies and 5 green candies.
A candy is chosen from the bag at random.

Find the probability that the candy is:
Not Orange
A letter is selected at random from the word F I B O N A C C I.

Find the probability that the letter is:
Not A
Write your answer as a fraction or as a decimal rounded to the nearest hundredth.
A bag contains 9 blue candies, 7 red candies and 5 green candies.
A candy is chosen from the bag at random.

Find the probability that the candy is:
Yellow
Goblins

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