7.SP.C.7.b

Develop a probability model (which may not be uniform) by observing frequencies in data generated from a chance process. For example, find the approximate probability that a spinning penny will land heads up or that a tossed paper cup will land open-end down. Do the outcomes for the spinning penny appear to be equally likely based on the observed frequencies?

Example Problems
Last weekend, 289 of 376 moviegoers bought popcorn.
Based on this data, what is a reasonable estimate of the
probability that the next moviegoer does not buy popcorn?
Write your answer as a fraction, as a decimal, or as a percent rounded to the nearest hundredth.
The frequency table summarizes last week's bed sales at Cloud Nine Furniture.

Size of BedNumber of Beds
Twin3
Double6
Queen4
King2


Based on this data, what is a reasonable estimate of the
probability that the next bed sold is a twin bed?
The frequency table records last week's soft drink sales at Refreshment Corner.

FlavorNumber Sold
Cola20
Lemon-Lime10
Orange15
Grape5


Based on this data, what is a reasonable estimate of the
probability that the next drink sold is orange?
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