District of Columbia flagDistrict of Columbia: High School: Statistics & Probability Math Standards

34 standards · 4 domains

CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY & THE RULES OF PROBABILITY

  • HSS.CP.A.1 Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events ("or," "and," "not").
  • HSS.CP.A.2 Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this characterization to determine if they are independent.
  • HSS.CP.A.3 Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/P(B), and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is the same as the probability of B.
  • HSS.CP.A.4 Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional probabilities.
  • HSS.CP.A.5 Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations.
  • HSS.CP.B.6 Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B's outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.
  • HSS.CP.B.7 Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model.
  • HSS.CP.B.8 Apply the general Multiplication Rule in a uniform probability model, P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model.
  • HSS.CP.B.9 Use permutations and combinations to compute probabilities of compound events and solve problems.

MAKING INFERENCES AND JUSTIFYING CONCLUSIONS

  • HSS.IC.A.1 Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population.
  • HSS.IC.A.2 Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation.?
  • HSS.IC.B.3 Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each.
  • HSS.IC.B.4 Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling.
  • HSS.IC.B.5 Use data from a randomized experiment to compare two treatments; use simulations to decide if differences between parameters are significant.
  • HSS.IC.B.6 Evaluate reports based on data.

INTERPRETING CATEGORICAL AND QUANTITATIVE DATA

  • HSS.ID.A.1 Represent data with plots on the real number line (dot plots, histograms, and box plots).
  • HSS.ID.A.2 Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets.
  • HSS.ID.A.3 Interpret differences in shape, center, and spread in the context of the data sets, accounting for possible effects of extreme data points (outliers).
  • HSS.ID.A.4 Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve.
  • HSS.ID.B.5 Summarize categorical data for two categories in two-way frequency tables. Interpret relative frequencies in the context of the data (including joint, marginal, and conditional relative frequencies). Recognize possible associations and trends in the data.
  • HSS.ID.B.6.a Fit a function to the data; use functions fitted to data to solve problems in the context of the data. Use given functions or choose a function suggested by the context. Emphasize linear, quadratic, and exponential models.
  • HSS.ID.B.6.b Informally assess the fit of a function by plotting and analyzing residuals.
  • HSS.ID.B.6.c Fit a linear function for a scatter plot that suggests a linear association.
  • HSS.ID.C.7 Interpret the slope (rate of change) and the intercept (constant term) of a linear model in the context of the data.
  • HSS.ID.C.8 Compute (using technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient of a linear fit.
  • HSS.ID.C.9 Distinguish between correlation and causation.

USING PROBABILITY TO MAKE DECISIONS

  • HSS.MD.A.1 Define a random variable for a quantity of interest by assigning a numerical value to each event in a sample space; graph the corresponding probability distribution using the same graphical displays as for data distributions.
  • HSS.MD.A.2 Calculate the expected value of a random variable; interpret it as the mean of the probability distribution.
  • HSS.MD.A.3 Develop a probability distribution for a random variable defined for a sample space in which theoretical probabilities can be calculated; find the expected value.
  • HSS.MD.A.4 Develop a probability distribution for a random variable defined for a sample space in which probabilities are assigned empirically; find the expected value.
  • HSS.MD.B.5.a Find the expected payoff for a game of chance.
  • HSS.MD.B.5.b Evaluate and compare strategies on the basis of expected values.
  • HSS.MD.B.6 Use probabilities to make fair decisions.
  • HSS.MD.B.7 Analyze decisions and strategies using probability concepts.